Rayo Vallecano II 3-1 RSD Alcala — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 12 Nov 2025

📅12/11/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
3.08
Draw
23%
3.11
Away
43%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.62
Over 2.5
45%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.95
No
54%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
18%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
19%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
29%
+4.9pp
23%
Draw
29%
-5.6pp
43%
Away Win
42%
+0.8pp
55%
Under 2.5
58%
-3.1pp
45%
Over 2.5
42%
+3.1pp
46%
BTTS Yes
47%
-1.0pp
54%
BTTS No
53%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rayo Vallecano II EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY RSD Alcala EU Bookmakers 46%
+20% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+44% / +44% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
312 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 301 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rayo Vallecano II
3-1
AWAY RSD Alcala
37% Ball Possession 63%
7 Total Shots 26
5 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 13
3 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Rayo Vallecano II vs RSD Alcala
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rayo Vallecano II got the better of RSD Alcala 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

Our pre-match lean was RSD Alcala at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Rayo Vallecano II had 37% of the ball to RSD Alcala's 63%, shots finished 7-26.

What was the final score of Rayo Vallecano II vs RSD Alcala?

Rayo Vallecano II 3-1 RSD Alcala in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 12/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rayo Vallecano II vs RSD Alcala?

Before kick-off our model rated an RSD Alcala win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Rayo Vallecano II 34%, draw 23%, RSD Alcala 43%. The final score 3-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (RSD Alcala) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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