Hammarby (K) 0-3 Barcelona (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Champions League - Women's, 12 Dec 2024

📅12/12/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-2 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
18%
12.23
Draw
22%
8.11
Away Pick
60%
1.1
Under/Over 2.5
Under
41%
Over
59%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
No
48%
Total Goals
0-1
19%
2-3
38%
4-5
27%
6+
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
7%
X/2
11%
X/X
7%
2/1
6%
2/2
41%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Barcelona (K) win — 60%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Away Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
18%
Home Win
5%
+12.7pp
22%
Draw
9%
+12.5pp
60%
Away Win
86%
-25.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hammarby (K) EU Bookmakers 8%
Head to Head
AWAY Barcelona (K) EU Bookmakers 91%
-13% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -14%
2.15/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.41/0.85
+20% / +55% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / -38%
39% Ball Possession 61%
7 Total Shots 19
2 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 7
212 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 511 · 86%
23.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 48.6
14.0 Crosses 25.3
0.0 Yellow Cards 1.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hammarby (K)
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Barcelona (K)
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 9.00
1.15 xG 5.84
19% Ball Possession 81%
7 Total Shots 33
1 Shots on Target 15
0 Corners 6
136 Passes 801
66% Pass Accuracy 91%
11 Box Touches 83
8 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 1
16.10.2024 Barcelona (K) Barcelona (K) 9-0 HT 3-0 Hammarby (K) Hammarby (K) ŞMP-K
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hammarby (K)
0-3
AWAY Barcelona (K)
1.02 xG 2.49
19% Ball Possession 81%
10 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 8
135 Passes 841
64% Pass Accuracy 93%
9 Box Touches 52
12 Crosses 28
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Hammarby (K) vs Barcelona (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Barcelona (K) cruised past Hammarby (K) 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Barcelona (K) as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (59%) came in.

On the day, Hammarby (K) had 19% of the ball to Barcelona (K)'s 81%, shots finished 10-17, expected goals 1.02 to 2.49.

What was the final score of Hammarby (K) vs Barcelona (K)?

Hammarby (K) 0-3 Barcelona (K) in the Champions League - Women's on 12/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hammarby (K) vs Barcelona (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Barcelona (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Hammarby (K) 18%, draw 22%, Barcelona (K) 60%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Barcelona (K)), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Barcelona (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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