Manchester City (K) 2-0 St. Pölten-Spratzern (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Champions League - Women's, 12 Dec 2024

📅12/12/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
70%
1.11
Draw
15%
8.78
Away
15%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under
33%
Over
67%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
No
50%
Total Goals
0-1
17%
2-3
39%
4-5
30%
6+
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
48%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
3%
X/X
6%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Manchester City (K) win — 70%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
70%
Home Win
85%
-15.4pp
15%
Draw
8%
+6.7pp
15%
Away Win
6%
+8.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Manchester City (K) EU Bookmakers 90%
Head to Head
AWAY St. Pölten-Spratzern (K) EU Bookmakers 9%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
2.73/0.46 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.51/3.40
-25% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -61% / +0%
60% Ball Possession 40%
19 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 2
391 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 277 · 73%
34.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 9.4
32.3 Crosses 7.4
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Manchester City (K)
2W-0D-0L
AWAY St. Pölten-Spratzern (K)
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
63% Ball Possession 37%
17 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 5
386 Passes 166
78% Pass Accuracy 63%
22 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 2
12.10.2017 Manchester City (K) Manchester City (K) 3-0 HT 2-0 St. Pölten-Spratzern (K) St. Pölten-Spratzern (K) ŞMP-K
04.10.2017 St. Pölten-Spratzern (K) St. Pölten-Spratzern (K) 0-3 HT 0-3 Manchester City (K) Manchester City (K) ŞMP-K
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Manchester City (K)
2-0
AWAY St. Pölten-Spratzern (K)
2.84 xG 0.06
78% Ball Possession 22%
13 Total Shots 2
4 Shots on Target 0
3 Corners 1
716 Passes 129
90% Pass Accuracy 60%
30 Box Touches 2
20 Crosses 4
POST-MATCH Manchester City (K) vs St. Pölten-Spratzern (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Manchester City (K) saw off St. Pölten-Spratzern (K) 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Manchester City (K) as the likeliest winner at 70%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (67%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Manchester City (K) had 78% of the ball to St. Pölten-Spratzern (K)'s 22%, shots finished 13-2, expected goals 2.84 to 0.06.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Manchester City (K) had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Manchester City (K) and 0.00 for St. Pölten-Spratzern (K).

What was the final score of Manchester City (K) vs St. Pölten-Spratzern (K)?

Manchester City (K) 2-0 St. Pölten-Spratzern (K) in the Champions League - Women's on 12/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Manchester City (K) vs St. Pölten-Spratzern (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Manchester City (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 70%, with the full match-result split Manchester City (K) 70%, draw 15%, St. Pölten-Spratzern (K) 15%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Manchester City (K)) — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Manchester City (K)) ✗ Over 2.5
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