El Mansura 2-1 Suez — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Egypt - 2nd Division, 12 Dec 2024

📅12/12/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.5
Draw
30%
2.88
Away
42%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
67%
1.52
Over
33%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
35%
2.29
No
65%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1
34%
2-3
44%
4-5
17%
6+
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
4%
1/X
10%
X/1
14%
X/2
17%
X/X
13%
2/1
3%
2/2
21%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 67%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
25%
+2.6pp
30%
Draw
31%
-1.3pp
42%
Away Win
44%
-1.3pp
67%
Under 2.5
62%
+5.5pp
33%
Over 2.5
38%
-5.5pp
35%
BTTS Yes
40%
-4.8pp
65%
BTTS No
60%
+4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME El Mansura EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Suez EU Bookmakers 48%
-43% / -43% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-100% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
245 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 347 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.0 Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH El Mansura vs Suez
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

El Mansura edged past Suez 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Suez at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (67%), no to both teams scoring (65%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of El Mansura vs Suez?

El Mansura 2-1 Suez in the Egypt - 2nd Division on 12/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for El Mansura vs Suez?

Before kick-off our model rated an Suez win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split El Mansura 28%, draw 30%, Suez 42%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Suez) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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