12/12/2024
·
15:30
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
0-0
2nd Score
0-1
Ghazl Kafr El Dawar vs Al Mokawloon Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
68%
Over
32%
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1
41%
2-3
46%
4-5
9%
6+
4%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
7%
X/2
13%
X/X
23%
2/1
7%
2/2
21%
2/X
7%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 68% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
23%
36%
Draw
32%
38%
Away Win
45%
33%
BTTS Yes
37%
67%
BTTS No
63%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Ghazl Kafr El Dawar v Al Mokawloon — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Ghazl Kafr El Dawar
EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY
Al Mokawloon
EU Bookmakers 49%
+6% /
+6%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-14% /
-14%
0.00/0.00
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
0.67/1.00
-100%
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-56%
/
-5%
45%
Ball Possession
55%
9
Total Shots
11
3
Shots on Target
4
5
Corners
5
256 · 72%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
330 · 76%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
1.0
POST-MATCH
Ghazl Kafr El Dawar vs Al Mokawloon
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Ghazl Kafr El Dawar and Al Mokawloon couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.
Our pre-match split (25% / 36% / 38%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, under 2.5 goals (68%) landed while no to both teams scoring (67%) missed.
What was the final score of Ghazl Kafr El Dawar vs Al Mokawloon?
Ghazl Kafr El Dawar 1-1 Al Mokawloon in the Egypt - 2nd Division on 12/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Ghazl Kafr El Dawar vs Al Mokawloon?
Before kick-off our model rated an Al Mokawloon win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Ghazl Kafr El Dawar 25%, draw 36%, Al Mokawloon 38%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Al Mokawloon), BTTS No went the other way.
✗ Match Result (Al Mokawloon)
✓ Under 2.5
✗ BTTS No
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MSR2
More Egypt - 2nd Division
12 Dec 2024