Wisla Krakow 1-1 Miedz Legnica — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 1st Division, 12 Dec 2024

📅12/12/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.89
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
28%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.03
Over 2.5
51%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.66
No
51%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
3.64
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
23%
3.04
6+ Goals
11%
10.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.64 — our 26% vs market 20.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
11%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
49%
-2.9pp
26%
Draw
25%
+0.4pp
28%
Away Win
26%
+2.6pp
49%
Under 2.5
45%
+3.9pp
51%
Over 2.5
55%
-3.9pp
49%
BTTS Yes
56%
-7.1pp
51%
BTTS No
44%
+7.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wisla Krakow EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Miedz Legnica EU Bookmakers 29%
+3% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -1%
2.10/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/1.33
+30% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +11%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
346 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 264 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Wisla Krakow
2W-1D-2L
AWAY Miedz Legnica
1.80 Avg Goals (FT) 1.80
56% Ball Possession 44%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 3
15.03.2024 Wisla Krakow Wisla Krakow 2-0 HT 0-0 Miedz Legnica Miedz Legnica POL1
01.09.2023 Miedz Legnica Miedz Legnica 1-1 HT 0-0 Wisla Krakow Wisla Krakow POL1
18.05.2019 Wisla Krakow Wisla Krakow 4-5 HT 1-1 Miedz Legnica Miedz Legnica POL
01.12.2018 Miedz Legnica Miedz Legnica 2-0 HT 2-0 Wisla Krakow Wisla Krakow POL
27.07.2018 Wisla Krakow Wisla Krakow 2-1 HT 1-0 Miedz Legnica Miedz Legnica POL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Wisla Krakow
1-1
AWAY Miedz Legnica
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 8
6 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Wisla Krakow vs Miedz Legnica
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wisla Krakow and Miedz Legnica couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Wisla Krakow at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Wisla Krakow had 56% of the ball to Miedz Legnica's 44%, shots finished 14-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.80 goals for Wisla Krakow and 1.80 for Miedz Legnica.

What was the final score of Wisla Krakow vs Miedz Legnica?

Wisla Krakow 1-1 Miedz Legnica in the Poland - 1st Division on 12/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wisla Krakow vs Miedz Legnica?

Before kick-off our model rated a Wisla Krakow win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Wisla Krakow 46%, draw 26%, Miedz Legnica 28%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Wisla Krakow) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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