Wisla Krakow 2-0 Miedz Legnica — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 1st Division, 15 Mar 2024

📅15/03/2024 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.75
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
27%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.95
Over 2.5
51%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.75
No
48%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.58
2-3 Goals
41%
1.81
4-5 Goals
25%
3.35
6+ Goals
10%
12.25
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
10%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
54%
-6.4pp
26%
Draw
24%
+1.7pp
27%
Away Win
22%
+4.8pp
49%
Under 2.5
48%
+1.8pp
51%
Over 2.5
52%
-1.8pp
52%
BTTS Yes
53%
-0.9pp
48%
BTTS No
47%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wisla Krakow EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Miedz Legnica EU Bookmakers 25%
-11% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +20%
1.89/1.44 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.43/1.13
+18% / -37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +44% / +33%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
362 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Wisla Krakow
1W-1D-2L
AWAY Miedz Legnica
1.75 Avg Goals (FT) 2.25
55% Ball Possession 44%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
6 Yellow Cards 2
01.09.2023 Miedz Legnica Miedz Legnica 1-1 HT 0-0 Wisla Krakow Wisla Krakow POL1
18.05.2019 Wisla Krakow Wisla Krakow 4-5 HT 1-1 Miedz Legnica Miedz Legnica POL
01.12.2018 Miedz Legnica Miedz Legnica 2-0 HT 2-0 Wisla Krakow Wisla Krakow POL
27.07.2018 Wisla Krakow Wisla Krakow 2-1 HT 1-0 Miedz Legnica Miedz Legnica POL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Wisla Krakow
2-0
AWAY Miedz Legnica
60% Ball Possession 40%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Wisla Krakow vs Miedz Legnica
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wisla Krakow beat Miedz Legnica 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Wisla Krakow as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Wisla Krakow had 60% of the ball to Miedz Legnica's 40%, shots finished 15-11.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Miedz Legnica led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.75 goals for Wisla Krakow and 2.25 for Miedz Legnica.

What was the final score of Wisla Krakow vs Miedz Legnica?

Wisla Krakow 2-0 Miedz Legnica in the Poland - 1st Division on 15/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wisla Krakow vs Miedz Legnica?

Before kick-off our model rated a Wisla Krakow win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Wisla Krakow 47%, draw 26%, Miedz Legnica 27%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Wisla Krakow) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Wisla Krakow) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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