Spartak Subotica 2-1 FK Partizan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Serbia - Super League, 12 Dec 2024

📅12/12/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 0-4
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
4.13
Draw
22%
3.45
Away
54%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.64
Over 2.5
52%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.06
No
55%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
4%
X/2
16%
X/X
8%
2/1
4%
2/2
30%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
21%
+2.6pp
22%
Draw
26%
-3.5pp
54%
Away Win
53%
+0.9pp
48%
Under 2.5
57%
-9.4pp
52%
Over 2.5
43%
+9.4pp
45%
BTTS Yes
44%
+0.1pp
55%
BTTS No
56%
-0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Spartak Subotica EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY FK Partizan EU Bookmakers 57%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +6%
0.72/1.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.78/1.27
-17% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / -41%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
253 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 313 · 78%
15.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.6
16.1 Crosses 16.4
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Spartak Subotica
1W-0D-5L
AWAY FK Partizan
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.59 xG 2.71
42% Ball Possession 59%
8 Total Shots 21
2 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
260 Passes 432
72% Pass Accuracy 81%
20 Box Touches 30
14 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
30.03.2024 FK Partizan FK Partizan 1-0 HT 1-0 Spartak Subotica Spartak Subotica SIRP
20.10.2023 Spartak Subotica Spartak Subotica 0-3 HT 0-0 FK Partizan FK Partizan SIRP
19.02.2023 Spartak Subotica Spartak Subotica 1-2 HT 0-1 FK Partizan FK Partizan SIRP
10.11.2022 FK Partizan FK Partizan 0-1 HT 0-0 Spartak Subotica Spartak Subotica SIRP
06.03.2022 Spartak Subotica Spartak Subotica 0-1 HT 0-0 FK Partizan FK Partizan SIRP
26.09.2021 FK Partizan FK Partizan 5-0 HT 2-0 Spartak Subotica Spartak Subotica SIRP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Spartak Subotica
2-1
AWAY FK Partizan
1.74 xG 1.76
38% Ball Possession 62%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 1
2 Corners 3
237 Passes 431
71% Pass Accuracy 81%
16 Box Touches 32
16 Crosses 30
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Spartak Subotica vs FK Partizan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Spartak Subotica edged past FK Partizan 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was FK Partizan at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Spartak Subotica had 38% of the ball to FK Partizan's 62%, shots finished 10-15, expected goals 1.74 to 1.76.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, FK Partizan led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Spartak Subotica and 2.00 for FK Partizan.

What was the final score of Spartak Subotica vs FK Partizan?

Spartak Subotica 2-1 FK Partizan in the Serbia - Super League on 12/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Spartak Subotica vs FK Partizan?

Before kick-off our model rated an FK Partizan win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Spartak Subotica 24%, draw 22%, FK Partizan 54%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (FK Partizan), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (FK Partizan) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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