FK Partizan 1-0 Spartak Subotica — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Serbia - Super League, 30 Mar 2024

📅30/03/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.3
Draw
25%
4.95
Away
21%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.38
Over 2.5
52%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.88
No
52%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
22%
X/2
6%
X/X
14%
2/1
9%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
72%
-18.7pp
25%
Draw
17%
+8.3pp
21%
Away Win
11%
+10.4pp
48%
Under 2.5
38%
+9.8pp
52%
Over 2.5
62%
-9.8pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-0.7pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FK Partizan EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY Spartak Subotica EU Bookmakers 14%
-7% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +29%
2.26/0.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.71/1.95
+7% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / +18%
63% Ball Possession 37%
18 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
451 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 227 · 69%
36.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.7
22.7 Crosses 11.8
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FK Partizan
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Spartak Subotica
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
2.91 xG 0.51
61% Ball Possession 39%
22 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 2
457 Passes 241
82% Pass Accuracy 71%
38 Box Touches 14
23 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 2
20.10.2023 Spartak Subotica Spartak Subotica 0-3 HT 0-0 FK Partizan FK Partizan SIRP
19.02.2023 Spartak Subotica Spartak Subotica 1-2 HT 0-1 FK Partizan FK Partizan SIRP
10.11.2022 FK Partizan FK Partizan 0-1 HT 0-0 Spartak Subotica Spartak Subotica SIRP
06.03.2022 Spartak Subotica Spartak Subotica 0-1 HT 0-0 FK Partizan FK Partizan SIRP
26.09.2021 FK Partizan FK Partizan 5-0 HT 2-0 Spartak Subotica Spartak Subotica SIRP
25.04.2021 FK Partizan FK Partizan 2-1 HT 1-0 Spartak Subotica Spartak Subotica SIRP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FK Partizan
1-0
AWAY Spartak Subotica
1.44 xG 0.65
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Target 2
1 Corners 13
397 Passes 382
81% Pass Accuracy 80%
22 Box Touches 27
12 Crosses 36
0 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH FK Partizan vs Spartak Subotica
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FK Partizan squeezed past Spartak Subotica 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had FK Partizan as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, FK Partizan had 49% of the ball to Spartak Subotica's 51%, shots finished 13-17, expected goals 1.44 to 0.65.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, FK Partizan had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for FK Partizan and 0.50 for Spartak Subotica.

What was the final score of FK Partizan vs Spartak Subotica?

FK Partizan 1-0 Spartak Subotica in the Serbia - Super League on 30/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FK Partizan vs Spartak Subotica?

Before kick-off our model rated a FK Partizan win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split FK Partizan 54%, draw 25%, Spartak Subotica 21%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FK Partizan), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (FK Partizan) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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