Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac 3-1 Napredak Krusevac — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Serbia - Super League, 30 Mar 2024

Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac
3-1 HT 2-0
Napredak Krusevac
📅30/03/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Serbia - Super League – 2023/2024

Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac vs Napredak Krusevac Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.8
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
28%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.68
Over 2.5
47%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.95
No
53%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
21%
X/2
8%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
52%
-5.9pp
26%
Draw
27%
-0.6pp
28%
Away Win
22%
+6.4pp
53%
Under 2.5
56%
-2.2pp
47%
Over 2.5
44%
+2.2pp
47%
BTTS Yes
47%
+0.0pp
53%
BTTS No
53%
-0.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac v Napredak Krusevac — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Napredak Krusevac EU Bookmakers 25%
+10% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +19%
1.70/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.79/1.13
+41% / +39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% / +15%
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
326 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 216 · 68%
21.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.3
23.3 Crosses 16.4
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.5

Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac vs Napredak Krusevac Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Napredak Krusevac
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.76 xG 1.52
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
254 Passes 268
73% Pass Accuracy 73%
13 Box Touches 24
16 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
20.10.2023 Napredak Krusevac Napredak Krusevac 1-3 HT 0-0 Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac SIRP
22.07.2023 Napredak Krusevac Napredak Krusevac 1-2 Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac HAZ
11.03.2023 Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac 3-0 HT 2-0 Napredak Krusevac Napredak Krusevac SIRP
10.09.2022 Napredak Krusevac Napredak Krusevac 1-0 HT 1-0 Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac SIRP
27.11.2021 Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac 1-2 HT 1-1 Napredak Krusevac Napredak Krusevac SIRP
30.07.2021 Napredak Krusevac Napredak Krusevac 1-0 HT 0-0 Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac SIRP

Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac 3-1 Napredak Krusevac — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac
3-1
AWAY Napredak Krusevac
1.49 xG 0.24
54% Ball Possession 46%
19 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 7
271 Passes 204
78% Pass Accuracy 71%
34 Box Touches 10
15 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac vs Napredak Krusevac
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac saw off Napredak Krusevac 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac had 54% of the ball to Napredak Krusevac's 46%, shots finished 19-8, expected goals 1.49 to 0.24.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac and 1.00 for Napredak Krusevac.

What was the final score of Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac vs Napredak Krusevac?

Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac 3-1 Napredak Krusevac in the Serbia - Super League on 30/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac vs Napredak Krusevac?

Before kick-off our model rated a Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac 46%, draw 26%, Napredak Krusevac 28%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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