Larne FC 1-0 Glentoran FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - Premier League, 12 Dec 2025

📅12/12/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.18
Draw
32%
3.11
Away
27%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.64
Over 2.5
36%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.9
No
54%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.54
2-3 Goals
40%
1.74
4-5 Goals
20%
4.28
6+ Goals
7%
22.25
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.25
1/2
4%
35.0
1/X
10%
13.65
X/1
16%
4.91
X/2
11%
6.59
X/X
12%
4.07
2/1
7%
30.0
2/2
11%
5.1
2/X
10%
14.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
42%
-0.7pp
32%
Draw
29%
+2.7pp
27%
Away Win
29%
-2.1pp
64%
Under 2.5
57%
+6.5pp
36%
Over 2.5
43%
-6.5pp
46%
BTTS Yes
49%
-2.4pp
54%
BTTS No
51%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Larne FC EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Glentoran FC EU Bookmakers 32%
+8% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +4%
1.39/0.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.10
+8% / +114% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / +16%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
265 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Larne FC
2W-4D-0L
AWAY Glentoran FC
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
27.09.2025 Glentoran FC Glentoran FC 0-0 Larne FC Larne FC KİRL
26.04.2025 Larne FC Larne FC 0-0 HT 0-0 Glentoran FC Glentoran FC KİRL
18.03.2025 Glentoran FC Glentoran FC 2-2 HT 1-0 Larne FC Larne FC KİRL
18.01.2025 Glentoran FC Glentoran FC 0-0 Larne FC Larne FC KİRL
02.11.2024 Glentoran FC Glentoran FC 0-2 HT 0-1 Larne FC Larne FC KİRL
20.09.2024 Larne FC Larne FC 2-0 HT 1-0 Glentoran FC Glentoran FC KİRL
POST-MATCH Larne FC vs Glentoran FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Larne FC edged past Glentoran FC 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Larne FC as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (64%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Larne FC had the better of it with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Larne FC and 0.33 for Glentoran FC.

What was the final score of Larne FC vs Glentoran FC?

Larne FC 1-0 Glentoran FC in the North Ireland - Premier League on 12/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Larne FC vs Glentoran FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Larne FC win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Larne FC 41%, draw 32%, Glentoran FC 27%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Larne FC), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Larne FC) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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