Larne FC 2-0 Glentoran FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - Premier League, 20 Sep 2024

📅20/09/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.9
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
27%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.67
Over 2.5
45%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.95
No
46%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2.7
2-3 Goals
44%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
4.34
6+ Goals
11%
21.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
2.66
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
8%
14.0
X/1
15%
4.2
X/2
7%
7.73
X/X
14%
4.14
2/1
9%
28.0
2/2
12%
6.28
2/X
8%
14.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
48%
-5.5pp
30%
Draw
28%
+2.3pp
27%
Away Win
24%
+3.4pp
55%
Under 2.5
56%
-1.1pp
45%
Over 2.5
44%
+1.1pp
54%
BTTS Yes
47%
+6.4pp
46%
BTTS No
53%
-6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Larne FC EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Glentoran FC EU Bookmakers 28%
+12% / +22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / -2%
2.23/0.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.33
+40% / +52% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +15%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
358 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 259 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Larne FC
6W-0D-0L
AWAY Glentoran FC
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
16.04.2024 Glentoran FC Glentoran FC 1-2 HT 0-1 Larne FC Larne FC KİRL
23.02.2024 Larne FC Larne FC 3-0 HT 1-0 Glentoran FC Glentoran FC KİRL
24.11.2023 Larne FC Larne FC 2-1 HT 1-0 Glentoran FC Glentoran FC KİRL
11.08.2023 Glentoran FC Glentoran FC 1-2 HT 0-0 Larne FC Larne FC KİRL
07.04.2023 Larne FC Larne FC 2-0 HT 2-0 Glentoran FC Glentoran FC KİRL
14.01.2023 Glentoran FC Glentoran FC 0-1 HT 0-0 Larne FC Larne FC KİRL
POST-MATCH Larne FC vs Glentoran FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Larne FC saw off Glentoran FC 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Larne FC as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Larne FC had the better of it with 6 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Larne FC and 0.50 for Glentoran FC.

What was the final score of Larne FC vs Glentoran FC?

Larne FC 2-0 Glentoran FC in the North Ireland - Premier League on 20/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Larne FC vs Glentoran FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Larne FC win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Larne FC 43%, draw 30%, Glentoran FC 27%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Larne FC), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Larne FC) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →