12/12/2025
·
16:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-1
2nd Score
1-0
Nairobi United vs Muranga All Stars Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
10%
X/X
15%
2/1
4%
2/2
17%
2/X
7%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
37%
29%
Draw
30%
34%
Away Win
34%
56%
Under 2.5
62%
44%
Over 2.5
38%
50%
BTTS Yes
44%
50%
BTTS No
56%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Nairobi United v Muranga All Stars — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Nairobi United
EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY
Muranga All Stars
EU Bookmakers 37%
+10% /
+10%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+52% /
+52%
2.34/2.00
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
2.00/0.00
+150%
/
-58%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
+103%
/
–
49%
Ball Possession
51%
11
Total Shots
11
4
Shots on Target
4
4
Corners
4
296 · 77%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
336 · 79%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
1.5
Yellow Cards
1.0
POST-MATCH
Nairobi United vs Muranga All Stars
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Nairobi United and Muranga All Stars couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.
We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 29% / 34% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.
What was the final score of Nairobi United vs Muranga All Stars?
Nairobi United 1-1 Muranga All Stars in the Kenya - Premier League on 12/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Nairobi United vs Muranga All Stars?
Before kick-off our model rated a Nairobi United win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Nairobi United 37%, draw 29%, Muranga All Stars 34%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Nairobi United) went the other way.
✗ Match Result (Nairobi United)
✓ Under 2.5
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12 Dec 2025