Homeboyz 2-2 Shabana — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kenya - Premier League, 12 Dec 2025

📅12/12/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.33
Draw
34%
2.7
Away
30%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
71%
Over 2.5
29%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
33%
2.75
No
67%
1.39
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
51%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
11%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
13%
X/2
8%
X/X
21%
2/1
4%
2/2
17%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
39%
-2.8pp
34%
Draw
34%
+0.3pp
30%
Away Win
27%
+2.4pp
33%
BTTS Yes
32%
+0.4pp
67%
BTTS No
68%
-0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Homeboyz EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Shabana EU Bookmakers 31%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +13%
0.99/0.58 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/0.88
+8% / +41% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / +4%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 3
199 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 268 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Homeboyz
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Shabana
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 0
02.03.2025 Shabana Shabana 4-1 HT 1-0 Homeboyz Homeboyz KEN
01.12.2024 Homeboyz Homeboyz 2-0 HT 2-0 Shabana Shabana KEN
POST-MATCH Homeboyz vs Shabana
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Homeboyz and Shabana couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 34% / 30% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (71%), no to both teams scoring (67%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Homeboyz and 2.00 for Shabana.

What was the final score of Homeboyz vs Shabana?

Homeboyz 2-2 Shabana in the Kenya - Premier League on 12/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Homeboyz vs Shabana?

Before kick-off our model rated a Homeboyz win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Homeboyz 36%, draw 34%, Shabana 30%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Homeboyz) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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