12/12/2025
·
16:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-0
2nd Score
2-0
Kitara vs Maroons Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1
26%
2-3
39%
4-5
25%
6+
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
51%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
4%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
6%
2/X
4%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Kitara win — 66% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH
Home Win
— pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
66%
Home Win
71%
18%
Draw
18%
15%
Away Win
11%
43%
Under 2.5
43%
57%
Over 2.5
57%
51%
BTTS Yes
51%
49%
BTTS No
49%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Kitara v Maroons — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Kitara
The Market 76%
Head to Head
AWAY
Maroons
The Market 14%
-5% /
-5%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-2% /
-2%
2.76/0.61
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
0.62/1.59
+39%
/
+8%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-12%
/
+20%
57%
Ball Possession
43%
16
Total Shots
9
6
Shots on Target
3
5
Corners
3
435 · 84%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
291 · 77%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
0.4
Yellow Cards
1.7
Kitara vs Maroons Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Kitara
1W-0D-0L
AWAY
Maroons
4.00
Avg Goals (FT)
0.00
42%
Ball Possession
58%
10
Total Shots
11
6
Shots on Target
4
1
Corners
7
0
Yellow Cards
3
The Meetings
Kitara 2-0 Maroons — Actual Match Statistics
RESULT
Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME
Kitara
2-0
AWAY
Maroons
42%
Ball Possession
58%
17
Total Shots
9
7
Shots on Target
4
1
Corners
2
2
Yellow Cards
0
POST-MATCH
Kitara vs Maroons
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Kitara beat Maroons 2-0.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Kitara as the likeliest winner at 66%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Kitara had 42% of the ball to Maroons's 58%, shots finished 17-9.
What was the final score of Kitara vs Maroons?
Kitara 2-0 Maroons in the Uganda - Premier League on 12/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Kitara vs Maroons?
Before kick-off our model rated a Kitara win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split Kitara 66%, draw 18%, Maroons 15%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kitara) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Kitara)
✗ Over 2.5
✗ BTTS Yes
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UGA
More Uganda - Premier League
12 Dec 2025