Kampala City vs NEC Prediction — Model Probabilities
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Kampala City v NEC — Team-Based Signals
Kampala City vs NEC Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
Kampala City 2-1 NEC — Actual Match Statistics
Kampala City squeezed past NEC 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Kampala City as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.
On the day, Kampala City had 50% of the ball to NEC's 50%, shots finished 8-8.
Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, NEC led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Kampala City and 1.00 for NEC.
What was the final score of Kampala City vs NEC?
Kampala City 2-1 NEC in the Uganda - Premier League on 12/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Kampala City vs NEC?
Before kick-off our model rated a Kampala City win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Kampala City 54%, draw 26%, NEC 20%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kampala City) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.