Kampala City 0-1 NEC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uganda - Premier League, 21 Nov 2024

Kampala City
0-1 HT 0-1
NEC
📅21/11/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Uganda - Premier League – 2024/2025

Kampala City vs NEC Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.75
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
27%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.67
Over 2.5
42%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.99
No
52%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
21%
X/2
5%
X/X
19%
2/1
5%
2/2
16%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
53%
-8.5pp
29%
Draw
27%
+2.0pp
27%
Away Win
20%
+6.6pp
58%
Under 2.5
56%
+1.4pp
42%
Over 2.5
44%
-1.4pp
48%
BTTS Yes
46%
+1.3pp
52%
BTTS No
54%
-1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Kampala City v NEC — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kampala City EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY NEC EU Bookmakers 23%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +51% / +51%
1.38/0.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.72/1.04
-9% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +114% / +27%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
356 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.0

Kampala City 0-1 NEC — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kampala City
0-1
AWAY NEC
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Kampala City vs NEC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

NEC squeezed past Kampala City 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Kampala City at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Kampala City had 54% of the ball to NEC's 46%, shots finished 13-10.

What was the final score of Kampala City vs NEC?

Kampala City 0-1 NEC in the Uganda - Premier League on 21/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kampala City vs NEC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kampala City win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Kampala City 45%, draw 29%, NEC 27%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Kampala City) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kampala City) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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