Bright Stars 0-1 Maroons — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uganda - Premier League, 21 Nov 2024

📅21/11/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.05
Draw
28%
3.04
Away
28%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.48
Over 2.5
38%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.13
No
59%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
11%
X/X
17%
2/1
5%
2/2
12%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
45%
-0.6pp
28%
Draw
30%
-1.8pp
28%
Away Win
26%
+2.4pp
62%
Under 2.5
64%
-2.2pp
38%
Over 2.5
36%
+2.2pp
41%
BTTS Yes
43%
-2.2pp
59%
BTTS No
57%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bright Stars EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Maroons EU Bookmakers 29%
-29% / -29% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
0.43/0.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.31/0.62
-64% / +23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -64% / +81%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
310 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 0.5
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bright Stars
0-1
AWAY Maroons
55% Ball Possession 45%
10 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Bright Stars vs Maroons
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Maroons edged past Bright Stars 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Bright Stars at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (59%) came in.

On the day, Bright Stars had 55% of the ball to Maroons's 45%, shots finished 10-7.

What was the final score of Bright Stars vs Maroons?

Bright Stars 0-1 Maroons in the Uganda - Premier League on 21/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bright Stars vs Maroons?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bright Stars win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Bright Stars 44%, draw 28%, Maroons 28%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Bright Stars) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bright Stars) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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