NEC 1-0 Kampala City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uganda - Premier League, 13 Feb 2025

NEC
1-0 HT 1-0
Kampala City
📅13/02/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✓
Uganda - Premier League – 2024/2025

NEC vs Kampala City Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.27
Draw
35%
2.94
Away
34%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
Over 2.5
36%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.13
No
62%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
40%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
13%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
16%
X/X
23%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Draw ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
40%
-8.9pp
35%
Draw
30%
+4.3pp
34%
Away Win
30%
+4.6pp
38%
BTTS Yes
43%
-4.9pp
62%
BTTS No
57%
+4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

NEC v Kampala City — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME NEC EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Kampala City EU Bookmakers 33%
+45% / +45% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -13%
1.65/0.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.72/1.00
+59% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / -5%
52% Ball Possession 48%
9 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
316 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.0

NEC vs Kampala City Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME NEC
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Kampala City
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
21.11.2024 Kampala City Kampala City 0-1 HT 0-1 NEC NEC UGA

NEC 1-0 Kampala City — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME NEC
1-0
AWAY Kampala City
35% Ball Possession 65%
11 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
5 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH NEC vs Kampala City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

NEC nicked a narrow win over Kampala City 1-0.

Our pre-match split (31% / 35% / 34%) promised a tight game; NEC found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (62%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, NEC had 35% of the ball to Kampala City's 65%, shots finished 11-10.

What was the final score of NEC vs Kampala City?

NEC 1-0 Kampala City in the Uganda - Premier League on 13/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for NEC vs Kampala City?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split NEC 31%, draw 35%, Kampala City 34%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Draw) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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