Kiboga Young 0-1 Mbarara City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uganda - Premier League, 13 Feb 2025

📅13/02/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.89
Draw
26%
3.04
Away
27%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.52
Over 2.5
43%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.51
No
54%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
9%
1/X
4%
X/1
19%
X/2
9%
X/X
16%
2/1
4%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
49%
-2.6pp
26%
Draw
30%
-3.3pp
27%
Away Win
21%
+5.9pp
57%
Under 2.5
62%
-5.0pp
43%
Over 2.5
38%
+5.0pp
46%
BTTS Yes
36%
+10.1pp
54%
BTTS No
64%
-10.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kiboga Young EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Mbarara City EU Bookmakers 24%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -16%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / -14%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
340 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kiboga Young
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Mbarara City
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
47% Ball Possession 53%
3 Total Shots 20
0 Shots on Target 9
7 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
23.11.2024 Mbarara City Mbarara City 1-0 Kiboga Young UGA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kiboga Young
0-1
AWAY Mbarara City
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
11 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Kiboga Young vs Mbarara City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mbarara City edged past Kiboga Young 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Kiboga Young at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, Kiboga Young had 48% of the ball to Mbarara City's 52%, shots finished 11-10.

What was the final score of Kiboga Young vs Mbarara City?

Kiboga Young 0-1 Mbarara City in the Uganda - Premier League on 13/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kiboga Young vs Mbarara City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kiboga Young win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Kiboga Young 47%, draw 26%, Mbarara City 27%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Kiboga Young) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kiboga Young) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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