Eastleigh 0-1 Southend United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 13 Jan 2024

Eastleigh
0-1 HT 0-0
Southend United
📅13/01/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✓
England - National League – 2023/2024

Eastleigh vs Southend United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.75
Draw
30%
3.72
Away
40%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
2.1
Over 2.5
45%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.7
No
50%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
27%
3.73
2-3 Goals
43%
1.8
4-5 Goals
20%
3.17
6+ Goals
10%
10.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.73 — our 27% vs market 21.2%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
6.37
1/2
9%
22.15
1/X
8%
15.05
X/1
15%
8.61
X/2
12%
4.07
X/X
14%
5.4
2/1
6%
34.0
2/2
20%
2.28
2/X
7%
14.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
23%
+6.6pp
30%
Draw
24%
+6.4pp
40%
Away Win
53%
-13.1pp
55%
Under 2.5
44%
+10.7pp
45%
Over 2.5
56%
-10.7pp
50%
BTTS Yes
55%
-4.5pp
50%
BTTS No
45%
+4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Eastleigh v Southend United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Eastleigh EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Southend United EU Bookmakers 57%
+15% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -31% / -31%
1.38/1.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.38
+9% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -39% / -22%
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
245 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 325 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.2

Eastleigh vs Southend United Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Eastleigh
2W-1D-2L
AWAY Southend United
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 1.20
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
25.08.2023 Southend United Southend United 2-0 HT 2-0 Eastleigh Eastleigh İBSL
28.01.2023 Southend United Southend United 1-3 HT 0-1 Eastleigh Eastleigh İBSL
27.08.2022 Eastleigh Eastleigh 2-1 HT 0-1 Southend United Southend United İBSL
22.02.2022 Eastleigh Eastleigh 1-1 HT 1-0 Southend United Southend United İBSL
05.10.2021 Southend United Southend United 1-0 HT 0-0 Eastleigh Eastleigh İBSL

Eastleigh 0-1 Southend United — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Eastleigh
0-1
AWAY Southend United
36% Ball Possession 64%
4 Total Shots 14
0 Shots on Target 7
1 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Eastleigh vs Southend United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Southend United squeezed past Eastleigh 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 30% / 30% / 40% — and on the day Southend United made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Eastleigh had 36% of the ball to Southend United's 64%, shots finished 4-14.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for Eastleigh and 1.20 for Southend United.

What was the final score of Eastleigh vs Southend United?

Eastleigh 0-1 Southend United in the England - National League on 13/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Eastleigh vs Southend United?

Before kick-off our model rated an Southend United win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Eastleigh 30%, draw 30%, Southend United 40%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Southend United), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Southend United) ✓ Under 2.5
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