Chelsea 1-0 Fulham — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League, 13 Jan 2024

Chelsea
1-0 HT 1-0
Fulham
📅13/01/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-0 ✗
England - Premier League – 2023/2024

Chelsea vs Fulham Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.64
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
21%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.07
Over 2.5
54%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.73
No
51%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.97
2-3 Goals
40%
1.84
4-5 Goals
23%
3.15
6+ Goals
13%
10.4
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
2.05
1/2
5%
34.0
1/X
9%
14.9
X/1
15%
3.93
X/2
6%
10.1
X/X
8%
5.58
2/1
7%
21.75
2/2
10%
7.59
2/X
7%
15.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
57%
-1.4pp
23%
Draw
24%
-0.0pp
21%
Away Win
20%
+1.4pp
46%
Under 2.5
44%
+1.9pp
54%
Over 2.5
56%
-1.9pp
49%
BTTS Yes
54%
-4.3pp
51%
BTTS No
46%
+4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Chelsea v Fulham — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chelsea EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Fulham EU Bookmakers 23%
-4% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +9%
1.76/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/1.73
-23% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +15%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
441 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 77%
29.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.2
19.9 Crosses 17.4
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.2

Chelsea vs Fulham Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chelsea
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Fulham
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
1.72 xG 0.75
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
496 Passes 353
85% Pass Accuracy 80%
27 Box Touches 20
13 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
02.10.2023 Fulham Fulham 0-2 HT 0-2 Chelsea Chelsea İNP
30.07.2023 Chelsea Chelsea 2-0 HT 2-0 Fulham Fulham HAZPL
03.02.2023 Chelsea Chelsea 0-0 HT 0-0 Fulham Fulham İNP
12.01.2023 Fulham Fulham 2-1 HT 1-0 Chelsea Chelsea İNP
01.05.2021 Chelsea Chelsea 2-0 HT 1-0 Fulham Fulham İNP
16.01.2021 Fulham Fulham 0-1 HT 0-0 Chelsea Chelsea İNP

Chelsea 1-0 Fulham — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chelsea
1-0
AWAY Fulham
2.19 xG 0.86
55% Ball Possession 45%
17 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
442 Passes 330
84% Pass Accuracy 78%
47 Box Touches 25
19 Crosses 17
5 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Chelsea vs Fulham
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chelsea squeezed past Fulham 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Chelsea as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Chelsea had 55% of the ball to Fulham's 45%, shots finished 17-14, expected goals 2.19 to 0.86 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Chelsea's control.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Chelsea had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Chelsea and 0.33 for Fulham.

What was the final score of Chelsea vs Fulham?

Chelsea 1-0 Fulham in the England - Premier League on 13/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chelsea vs Fulham?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chelsea win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Chelsea 55%, draw 23%, Fulham 21%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chelsea), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Chelsea) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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İNP More England - Premier League
13 Jan 2024
20:30 Newcastle United vs Manchester City Analysis →