Real Oviedo 1-1 Amorebieta — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 13 Jan 2024

📅13/01/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.75
Draw
30%
3.28
Away
22%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.59
Over 2.5
34%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.16
No
61%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2.4
2-3 Goals
41%
1.76
4-5 Goals
16%
4.95
6+ Goals
8%
29.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
2.32
1/2
5%
34.0
1/X
5%
15.8
X/1
18%
3.73
X/2
7%
9.29
X/X
18%
4.0
2/1
11%
29.5
2/2
9%
8.28
2/X
8%
16.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
53%
-5.6pp
30%
Draw
27%
+2.9pp
22%
Away Win
19%
+2.8pp
66%
Under 2.5
59%
+6.5pp
34%
Over 2.5
41%
-6.5pp
39%
BTTS Yes
42%
-3.2pp
61%
BTTS No
58%
+3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Real Oviedo EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Amorebieta EU Bookmakers 22%
-4% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -5%
1.60/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.69/1.26
-8% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / -12%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
324 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 275 · 71%
21.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.9
24.3 Crosses 21.4
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Real Oviedo
1W-2D-0L
AWAY Amorebieta
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
1.36 xG 0.59
62% Ball Possession 38%
13 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 3
391 Passes 199
79% Pass Accuracy 64%
23 Box Touches 16
25 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 3
21.10.2023 Amorebieta Amorebieta 0-0 HT 0-0 Real Oviedo Real Oviedo İS2
06.02.2022 Amorebieta Amorebieta 1-1 HT 1-1 Real Oviedo Real Oviedo İS2
20.11.2021 Real Oviedo Real Oviedo 2-0 HT 2-0 Amorebieta Amorebieta İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Real Oviedo
1-1
AWAY Amorebieta
0.64 xG 0.98
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 4
10 Corners 5
448 Passes 293
87% Pass Accuracy 78%
25 Box Touches 19
26 Crosses 16
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Real Oviedo vs Amorebieta
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Oviedo and Amorebieta shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Real Oviedo at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (66%) landed while no to both teams scoring (61%) missed.

On the day, Real Oviedo had 58% of the ball to Amorebieta's 42%, shots finished 15-14, expected goals 0.64 to 0.98.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Real Oviedo had the better of it with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Real Oviedo and 0.33 for Amorebieta.

What was the final score of Real Oviedo vs Amorebieta?

Real Oviedo 1-1 Amorebieta in the Spain - 2nd Division on 13/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Real Oviedo vs Amorebieta?

Before kick-off our model rated a Real Oviedo win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Real Oviedo 48%, draw 30%, Amorebieta 22%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Real Oviedo), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Real Oviedo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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