Lecce U19 3-2 Genoa U19 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Primavera Championship, 13 Jan 2024

📅13/01/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.19
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
41%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.95
Over 2.5
46%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.68
No
52%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
31%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
10%
1/X
12%
X/1
9%
X/2
21%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
42%
-10.2pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.6pp
41%
Away Win
32%
+8.6pp
54%
Under 2.5
48%
+6.6pp
46%
Over 2.5
52%
-6.6pp
48%
BTTS Yes
56%
-8.0pp
52%
BTTS No
44%
+8.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lecce U19 EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Genoa U19 EU Bookmakers 36%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
2.01/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/0.00
+59% / -49% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% /
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
343 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lecce U19
3-2
AWAY Genoa U19
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 8
9 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Lecce U19 vs Genoa U19
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lecce U19 edged past Genoa U19 3-2. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Genoa U19 at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Lecce U19 had 54% of the ball to Genoa U19's 46%, shots finished 15-8.

What was the final score of Lecce U19 vs Genoa U19?

Lecce U19 3-2 Genoa U19 in the Italy - Primavera Championship on 13/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lecce U19 vs Genoa U19?

Before kick-off our model rated an Genoa U19 win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Lecce U19 31%, draw 28%, Genoa U19 41%. The final score 3-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Genoa U19) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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