Sampdoria U19 3-1 Frosinone U19 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Primavera Championship, 13 Jan 2024

📅13/01/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.86
Draw
27%
3.64
Away
24%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
Over 2.5
47%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.55
No
50%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
23%
X/2
9%
X/X
16%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
50%
-0.6pp
27%
Draw
24%
+2.5pp
24%
Away Win
26%
-2.0pp
50%
BTTS Yes
60%
-10.2pp
50%
BTTS No
40%
+10.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sampdoria U19 EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Frosinone U19 EU Bookmakers 29%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -42% / -42%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -15%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
350 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 330 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sampdoria U19
3-1
AWAY Frosinone U19
59% Ball Possession 41%
19 Total Shots 8
10 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Sampdoria U19 vs Frosinone U19
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sampdoria U19 got the better of Frosinone U19 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Sampdoria U19 as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Sampdoria U19 had 59% of the ball to Frosinone U19's 41%, shots finished 19-8.

What was the final score of Sampdoria U19 vs Frosinone U19?

Sampdoria U19 3-1 Frosinone U19 in the Italy - Primavera Championship on 13/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sampdoria U19 vs Frosinone U19?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sampdoria U19 win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Sampdoria U19 49%, draw 27%, Frosinone U19 24%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sampdoria U19) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sampdoria U19) ✗ Under 2.5
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