Brisbane Roar (K) 1-2 Newcastle Jets (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - W-League, 13 Jan 2024

📅13/01/2024 · 🕒11:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.9
Draw
29%
3.72
Away
29%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
Over 2.5
52%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.5
No
41%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
7%
1/X
3%
X/1
13%
X/2
14%
X/X
19%
2/1
4%
2/2
7%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
48%
-6.4pp
29%
Draw
23%
+5.9pp
29%
Away Win
28%
+0.5pp
59%
BTTS Yes
62%
-3.7pp
41%
BTTS No
38%
+3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Brisbane Roar (K) EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Newcastle Jets (K) EU Bookmakers 32%
+42% / +42% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -40% / -40%
1.04/1.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.80/2.59
+14% / +34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -85% / +29%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
366 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 333 · 78%
29.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.0
20.0 Crosses 9.0
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Brisbane Roar (K)
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Newcastle Jets (K)
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
2.65 xG 0.96
60% Ball Possession 40%
26 Total Shots 10
12 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 6
403 Passes 225
77% Pass Accuracy 66%
41 Box Touches 16
24 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 0
29.12.2019 Brisbane Roar (K) Brisbane Roar (K) 2-1 HT 1-1 Newcastle Jets (K) Newcastle Jets (K) AVUSTW
29.11.2018 Newcastle Jets (K) Newcastle Jets (K) 0-1 HT 0-0 Brisbane Roar (K) Brisbane Roar (K) AVUSTW
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Brisbane Roar (K)
1-2
AWAY Newcastle Jets (K)
1.11 xG 1.62
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 14
7 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 8
268 Passes 205
72% Pass Accuracy 66%
29 Box Touches 18
17 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Brisbane Roar (K) vs Newcastle Jets (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Newcastle Jets (K) edged past Brisbane Roar (K) 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Brisbane Roar (K) at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged both teams to score (59%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Brisbane Roar (K) had 54% of the ball to Newcastle Jets (K)'s 46%, shots finished 12-14, expected goals 1.11 to 1.62.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Brisbane Roar (K) had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Brisbane Roar (K) and 0.50 for Newcastle Jets (K).

What was the final score of Brisbane Roar (K) vs Newcastle Jets (K)?

Brisbane Roar (K) 1-2 Newcastle Jets (K) in the Australia - W-League on 13/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Brisbane Roar (K) vs Newcastle Jets (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Brisbane Roar (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Brisbane Roar (K) 42%, draw 29%, Newcastle Jets (K) 29%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Brisbane Roar (K)) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Brisbane Roar (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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AVUSTW More Australia - W-League
13 Jan 2024
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