Canberra United (K) 3-1 Adelaide United (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - W-League, 13 Jan 2024

Canberra United (K)
3-1 HT 0-0
Adelaide United (K)
📅13/01/2024 · 🕒09:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Australia - W-League – 2023/2024

Canberra United (K) vs Adelaide United (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.0
Draw
31%
3.72
Away
35%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
Over 2.5
62%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
68%
1.38
No
32%
2.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
10%
X/2
11%
X/X
20%
2/1
10%
2/2
15%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
46%
-11.8pp
31%
Draw
24%
+7.4pp
35%
Away Win
30%
+4.4pp
68%
BTTS Yes
68%
-0.3pp
32%
BTTS No
32%
+0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Canberra United (K) v Adelaide United (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Canberra United (K) EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Adelaide United (K) EU Bookmakers 34%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -44% / -44%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / -56%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
365 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Canberra United (K) vs Adelaide United (K) Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Canberra United (K)
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Adelaide United (K)
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.69 xG 1.95
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 3
309 Passes 305
75% Pass Accuracy 72%
20 Box Touches 24
13 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 0
The Meetings
22.12.2019 Adelaide United (K) Adelaide United (K) 1-2 HT 0-1 Canberra United (K) Canberra United (K) AVUSTW
13.01.2019 Canberra United (K) Canberra United (K) 1-0 HT 0-0 Adelaide United (K) Adelaide United (K) AVUSTW
22.11.2018 Adelaide United (K) Adelaide United (K) 2-0 HT 1-0 Canberra United (K) Canberra United (K) AVUSTW

Canberra United (K) 3-1 Adelaide United (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Canberra United (K)
3-1
AWAY Adelaide United (K)
1.86 xG 1.13
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
273 Passes 359
71% Pass Accuracy 73%
13 Box Touches 23
19 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Canberra United (K) vs Adelaide United (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Canberra United (K) beat Adelaide United (K) 3-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 31% / 35% — and on the day Canberra United (K) made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (68%) came in.

On the day, Canberra United (K) had 45% of the ball to Adelaide United (K)'s 55%, shots finished 9-9, expected goals 1.86 to 1.13.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Canberra United (K) had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Canberra United (K) and 1.00 for Adelaide United (K).

What was the final score of Canberra United (K) vs Adelaide United (K)?

Canberra United (K) 3-1 Adelaide United (K) in the Australia - W-League on 13/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Canberra United (K) vs Adelaide United (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Adelaide United (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Canberra United (K) 34%, draw 31%, Adelaide United (K) 35%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Adelaide United (K)) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Adelaide United (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
AVUSTW More Australia - W-League
13 Jan 2024
11:45 Brisbane Roar (K) vs Newcastle Jets (K) Analysis →