Central Coast Mariners 1-1 Melbourne Victory — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - A-League, 13 Jan 2024

Central Coast Mariners
1-1 HT 0-1
Melbourne Victory
📅13/01/2024 · 🕒09:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✓ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Australia - A-League – 2023/2024

Central Coast Mariners vs Melbourne Victory Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.47
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
34%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.1
Over 2.5
48%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.6
No
46%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.86
2-3 Goals
39%
1.81
4-5 Goals
22%
3.09
6+ Goals
13%
10.25
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
3.71
1/2
8%
26.0
1/X
7%
12.7
X/1
16%
5.79
X/2
13%
5.48
X/X
10%
4.98
2/1
11%
27.5
2/2
12%
3.44
2/X
12%
12.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
37%
+0.3pp
29%
Draw
26%
+2.9pp
34%
Away Win
37%
-3.2pp
52%
Under 2.5
44%
+8.1pp
48%
Over 2.5
56%
-8.1pp
54%
BTTS Yes
58%
-4.0pp
46%
BTTS No
42%
+4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Central Coast Mariners v Melbourne Victory — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Central Coast Mariners EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Melbourne Victory EU Bookmakers 40%
+16% / +25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -4%
1.92/1.40 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.34/1.38
+18% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +5%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
363 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 362 · 80%
29.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.6
19.3 Crosses 19.0
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.4

Central Coast Mariners vs Melbourne Victory Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Central Coast Mariners
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Melbourne Victory
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.28 xG 1.32
55% Ball Possession 44%
11 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 8
414 Passes 306
82% Pass Accuracy 77%
23 Box Touches 28
15 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
03.12.2023 Central Coast Mariners Central Coast Mariners 2-2 HT 1-1 Melbourne Victory Melbourne Victory AVUS
19.03.2023 Melbourne Victory Melbourne Victory 2-0 HT 1-0 Central Coast Mariners Central Coast Mariners AVUS
31.12.2022 Central Coast Mariners Central Coast Mariners 2-1 HT 1-1 Melbourne Victory Melbourne Victory AVUS
09.03.2022 Central Coast Mariners Central Coast Mariners 1-1 HT 0-1 Melbourne Victory Melbourne Victory AVUS
19.02.2022 Melbourne Victory Melbourne Victory 1-0 HT 0-0 Central Coast Mariners Central Coast Mariners AVUS
05.02.2022 Melbourne Victory Melbourne Victory 2-1 HT 0-0 Central Coast Mariners Central Coast Mariners AVUK

Central Coast Mariners 1-1 Melbourne Victory — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Central Coast Mariners
1-1
AWAY Melbourne Victory
1.66 xG 1.21
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 2
382 Passes 433
83% Pass Accuracy 86%
16 Box Touches 27
12 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Central Coast Mariners vs Melbourne Victory
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Central Coast Mariners and Melbourne Victory couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (37% / 29% / 34%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Central Coast Mariners had 48% of the ball to Melbourne Victory's 52%, shots finished 11-9, expected goals 1.66 to 1.21.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Melbourne Victory led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Central Coast Mariners and 1.50 for Melbourne Victory.

What was the final score of Central Coast Mariners vs Melbourne Victory?

Central Coast Mariners 1-1 Melbourne Victory in the Australia - A-League on 13/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Central Coast Mariners vs Melbourne Victory?

Before kick-off our model rated a Central Coast Mariners win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Central Coast Mariners 37%, draw 29%, Melbourne Victory 34%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Central Coast Mariners) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Central Coast Mariners) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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13 Jan 2024
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