Al Dhafra 1-0 Gulf Heroes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UAE - 1st Division, 13 Jan 2024

📅13/01/2024 · 🕒16:20 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.53
Draw
24%
4.08
Away
28%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.18
Over 2.5
59%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.7
No
41%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
4%
1/X
11%
X/1
13%
X/2
8%
X/X
7%
2/1
5%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
61%
-13.0pp
24%
Draw
21%
+3.0pp
28%
Away Win
18%
+10.0pp
41%
Under 2.5
42%
-1.3pp
59%
Over 2.5
58%
+1.3pp
59%
BTTS Yes
55%
+4.6pp
41%
BTTS No
45%
-4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Dhafra EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Gulf Heroes EU Bookmakers 21%
+31% / +31% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +15%
3.00/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.02/2.07
+46% / -57% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +102% / -6%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
375 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 323 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.8
POST-MATCH Al Dhafra vs Gulf Heroes
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Dhafra nicked a narrow win over Gulf Heroes 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Al Dhafra as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (59%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Al Dhafra vs Gulf Heroes?

Al Dhafra 1-0 Gulf Heroes in the UAE - 1st Division on 13/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Dhafra vs Gulf Heroes?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Dhafra win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Al Dhafra 48%, draw 24%, Gulf Heroes 28%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Dhafra) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Dhafra) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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