Al Jazira Al Hamra 3-2 Gulf United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UAE - 1st Division, 13 Jan 2024

📅13/01/2024 · 🕒15:55 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
1.96
Draw
32%
3.45
Away
33%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.23
Over 2.5
49%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.55
No
50%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
10%
X/2
14%
X/X
14%
2/1
10%
2/2
14%
2/X
13%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
47%
-12.6pp
32%
Draw
26%
+6.9pp
33%
Away Win
27%
+5.7pp
51%
Under 2.5
41%
+9.5pp
49%
Over 2.5
59%
-9.5pp
50%
BTTS Yes
60%
-10.1pp
50%
BTTS No
40%
+10.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Jazira Al Hamra EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Gulf United EU Bookmakers 31%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +45% / +45%
1.76/1.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.66/0.00
+23% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -49% /
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
295 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.0
POST-MATCH Al Jazira Al Hamra vs Gulf United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Jazira Al Hamra nicked a narrow win over Gulf United 3-2. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 32% / 33% — and on the day Al Jazira Al Hamra made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

What was the final score of Al Jazira Al Hamra vs Gulf United?

Al Jazira Al Hamra 3-2 Gulf United in the UAE - 1st Division on 13/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Jazira Al Hamra vs Gulf United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Jazira Al Hamra win the most likely single outcome at about 34%, with the full match-result split Al Jazira Al Hamra 34%, draw 32%, Gulf United 33%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Jazira Al Hamra) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Jazira Al Hamra) ✗ Under 2.5
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