Arabi 0-1 Al-Taawon — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UAE - 1st Division, 13 Jan 2024

📅13/01/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.57
Draw
22%
3.72
Away
21%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.86
Over 2.5
49%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.96
No
56%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
39%
1/2
3%
1/X
9%
X/1
14%
X/2
11%
X/X
9%
2/1
3%
2/2
8%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
59%
-2.0pp
22%
Draw
23%
-1.9pp
21%
Away Win
17%
+3.9pp
51%
Under 2.5
50%
+1.0pp
49%
Over 2.5
50%
-1.0pp
44%
BTTS Yes
47%
-2.6pp
56%
BTTS No
53%
+2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arabi EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Al-Taawon EU Bookmakers 21%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +20%
1.52/0.63 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/1.34
-28% / +42% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / +52%
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
435 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Arabi
4W-1D-0L
AWAY Al-Taawon
1.80 Avg Goals (FT) 0.20
60% Ball Possession 40%
7 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 11
5 Yellow Cards 4
15.10.2023 Arabi 3-0 HT 1-0 Al-Taawon Al-Taawon BAECK
12.02.2023 Al-Taawon Al-Taawon 1-1 HT 1-1 Arabi BAE2
02.10.2022 Arabi 1-0 HT 1-0 Al-Taawon Al-Taawon BAE2
09.04.2022 Al-Taawon Al-Taawon 0-2 HT 0-2 Arabi BAE2
26.12.2021 Arabi 2-0 Al-Taawon Al-Taawon BAE2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Arabi
0-1
AWAY Al-Taawon
61% Ball Possession 39%
8 Total Shots 3
3 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Arabi vs Al-Taawon
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al-Taawon nicked a narrow win over Arabi 1-0 away from home.

This one beat our numbers. Arabi carried 57% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Arabi had 61% of the ball to Al-Taawon's 39%, shots finished 8-3.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Arabi had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.80 goals for Arabi and 0.20 for Al-Taawon.

What was the final score of Arabi vs Al-Taawon?

Arabi 0-1 Al-Taawon in the UAE - 1st Division on 13/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arabi vs Al-Taawon?

Before kick-off our model rated a Arabi win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Arabi 57%, draw 22%, Al-Taawon 21%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Arabi) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Arabi) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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