ES Setif 1-1 ES Ben Aknoun — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Algeria - 1st Division, 13 Jan 2024

📅13/01/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.37
Draw
26%
4.19
Away
16%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.75
Over 2.5
44%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.51
No
60%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
34%
2.71
2-3 Goals
40%
1.71
4-5 Goals
19%
3.98
6+ Goals
7%
19.05
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.71 — our 34% vs market 29.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
40%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
12%
X/2
6%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
6%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
69%
-10.7pp
26%
Draw
21%
+4.9pp
17%
Away Win
11%
+5.8pp
56%
Under 2.5
53%
+2.4pp
44%
Over 2.5
47%
-2.4pp
40%
BTTS Yes
36%
+3.8pp
60%
BTTS No
64%
-3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME ES Setif EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY ES Ben Aknoun EU Bookmakers 14%
+2% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
1.98/0.43 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.41/1.76
+10% / +27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -30% / -6%
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
369 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 252 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME ES Setif
1-1
AWAY ES Ben Aknoun
75% Ball Possession 25%
10 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 5
9 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH ES Setif vs ES Ben Aknoun
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

ES Setif and ES Ben Aknoun couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had ES Setif at 58% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. On goals, under 2.5 goals (56%) landed while no to both teams scoring (60%) missed.

On the day, ES Setif had 75% of the ball to ES Ben Aknoun's 25%, shots finished 10-7.

What was the final score of ES Setif vs ES Ben Aknoun?

ES Setif 1-1 ES Ben Aknoun in the Algeria - 1st Division on 13/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for ES Setif vs ES Ben Aknoun?

Before kick-off our model rated a ES Setif win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split ES Setif 58%, draw 26%, ES Ben Aknoun 17%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (ES Setif), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (ES Setif) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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