USM Khenchela 2-0 US Souf — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Algeria - 1st Division, 13 Jan 2024

📅13/01/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.3
Draw
25%
4.62
Away
16%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.9
Over 2.5
49%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.51
No
56%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.06
2-3 Goals
37%
1.73
4-5 Goals
23%
3.55
6+ Goals
12%
14.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.06 — our 28% vs market 25.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
41%
1/2
3%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
7%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
6%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
72%
-13.7pp
26%
Draw
18%
+7.1pp
16%
Away Win
9%
+6.6pp
51%
Under 2.5
49%
+2.5pp
49%
Over 2.5
51%
-2.5pp
44%
BTTS Yes
36%
+8.6pp
56%
BTTS No
64%
-8.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME USM Khenchela EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY US Souf EU Bookmakers 12%
-13% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -20% / -20%
0.98/0.47 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.24/2.48
-47% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -59% / -33%
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
465 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 236 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME USM Khenchela
2-0
AWAY US Souf
67% Ball Possession 33%
18 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 0
8 Corners 1
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH USM Khenchela vs US Souf
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

USM Khenchela got the better of US Souf 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had USM Khenchela as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, USM Khenchela had 67% of the ball to US Souf's 33%, shots finished 18-7.

What was the final score of USM Khenchela vs US Souf?

USM Khenchela 2-0 US Souf in the Algeria - 1st Division on 13/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for USM Khenchela vs US Souf?

Before kick-off our model rated a USM Khenchela win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split USM Khenchela 59%, draw 26%, US Souf 16%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (USM Khenchela), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (USM Khenchela) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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