Gateshead 2-2 Weston-super-Mare — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - FA Cup, 13 Jan 2024

Gateshead
2-2 HT 1-1
Weston-super-Mare
📅13/01/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
England - FA Cup – 2023/2024

Gateshead vs Weston-super-Mare Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.64
Draw
27%
4.08
Away
25%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.59
Over 2.5
48%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.55
No
49%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
5.06
2-3 Goals
40%
1.93
4-5 Goals
22%
2.61
6+ Goals
10%
6.49
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 5.06 — our 28% vs market 14.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
20%
X/2
9%
X/X
18%
2/1
9%
2/2
12%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
57%
-8.6pp
26%
Draw
21%
+5.1pp
25%
Away Win
22%
+3.5pp
52%
Under 2.5
35%
+16.8pp
48%
Over 2.5
65%
-16.8pp
51%
BTTS Yes
60%
-9.8pp
49%
BTTS No
40%
+9.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Gateshead v Weston-super-Mare — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gateshead EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Weston-super-Mare EU Bookmakers 25%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +15%
4.23/1.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.58/1.25
+116% / -37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -54% / +50%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
344 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
0.9 Yellow Cards 1.0
POST-MATCH Gateshead vs Weston-super-Mare
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gateshead and Weston-super-Mare couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Gateshead at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

What was the final score of Gateshead vs Weston-super-Mare?

Gateshead 2-2 Weston-super-Mare in the England - FA Cup on 13/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gateshead vs Weston-super-Mare?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gateshead win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Gateshead 48%, draw 26%, Weston-super-Mare 25%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Gateshead), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Gateshead) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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