Hereford FC 2-0 Torquay United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - FA Cup, 13 Jan 2024

Hereford FC
2-0 HT 2-0
Torquay United
📅13/01/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
England - FA Cup – 2023/2024

Hereford FC vs Torquay United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.18
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
34%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.15
Over 2.5
47%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.56
No
53%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.88
2-3 Goals
39%
1.79
4-5 Goals
22%
2.98
6+ Goals
10%
9.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.88 — our 29% vs market 19.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
18%
X/2
15%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
42%
-0.7pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.5pp
33%
Away Win
32%
+1.2pp
53%
Under 2.5
43%
+9.8pp
47%
Over 2.5
57%
-9.8pp
47%
BTTS Yes
60%
-13.1pp
53%
BTTS No
40%
+13.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Hereford FC v Torquay United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hereford FC EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Torquay United EU Bookmakers 36%
+28% / +28% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +11%
1.00/0.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.36/1.71
-37% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +57% / -9%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
282 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 268 · 74%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.4

Hereford FC vs Torquay United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hereford FC
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Torquay United
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
8 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 6
The Meetings
05.05.2012 Hereford FC Hereford FC 3-2 HT 3-0 Torquay United Torquay United İN2
29.10.2011 Torquay United Torquay United 2-0 HT 2-0 Hereford FC Hereford FC İN2
01.02.2011 Torquay United Torquay United 1-3 HT 1-1 Hereford FC Hereford FC İN2
01.01.2011 Hereford FC Hereford FC 2-2 HT 1-2 Torquay United Torquay United İN2
06.02.2010 Hereford FC Hereford FC 1-0 HT 1-0 Torquay United Torquay United İN2
26.12.2009 Torquay United Torquay United 1-0 HT 1-0 Hereford FC Hereford FC İN2
POST-MATCH Hereford FC vs Torquay United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hereford FC got the better of Torquay United 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Hereford FC as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hereford FC had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Hereford FC and 1.33 for Torquay United.

What was the final score of Hereford FC vs Torquay United?

Hereford FC 2-0 Torquay United in the England - FA Cup on 13/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hereford FC vs Torquay United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hereford FC win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Hereford FC 41%, draw 25%, Torquay United 33%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hereford FC), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Hereford FC) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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