13/01/2024
·
20:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-0
2nd Score
0-0
As Canet vs Alberes Argeles Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under
53%
Over
47%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
35%
No Pick
65%
Total Goals
0-1
31%
2-3
45%
4-5
19%
6+
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
4%
1/X
3%
X/1
12%
X/2
17%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
26%
2/X
6%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
BTTS No — 65% ✗
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
31%
Home Win
32%
21%
Draw
28%
48%
Away Win
40%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
As Canet v Alberes Argeles — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
As Canet
The Market 36%
Head to Head
AWAY
Alberes Argeles
The Market 43%
+46% /
+46%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
+124%
/
+19%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
50%
Ball Possession
50%
8
Total Shots
13
4
Shots on Target
4
4
Corners
5
320 · 73%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
317 · 74%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
As Canet vs Alberes Argeles
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Alberes Argeles squeezed past As Canet 2-1 away from home.
As we said in the preview, our model had Alberes Argeles as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (65%) — went the other way, though.
What was the final score of As Canet vs Alberes Argeles?
As Canet 1-2 Alberes Argeles in the France - National League 3 on 13/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for As Canet vs Alberes Argeles?
Before kick-off our model rated an Alberes Argeles win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split As Canet 31%, draw 21%, Alberes Argeles 48%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Alberes Argeles) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Alberes Argeles)
✗ Under 2.5
✗ BTTS No
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FRUL3
More France - National League 3
13 Jan 2024