Blagnac 1-0 Saint-Paul Sport — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - National League 3, 13 Jan 2024

📅13/01/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.66
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
30%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under
44%
Over Pick
56%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
No
50%
Total Goals
0-1
22%
2-3
42%
4-5
25%
6+
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
8%
X/X
9%
2/1
11%
2/2
17%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 56%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
46%
Home Win
56%
-9.8pp
24%
Draw
26%
-1.8pp
30%
Away Win
18%
+11.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Blagnac The Market 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Saint-Paul Sport The Market 21%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
389 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Blagnac
1-0
AWAY Saint-Paul Sport
66% Ball Possession 34%
11 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 2
POST-MATCH Blagnac vs Saint-Paul Sport
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Blagnac edged past Saint-Paul Sport 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Blagnac as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Blagnac had 66% of the ball to Saint-Paul Sport's 34%, shots finished 11-9.

What was the final score of Blagnac vs Saint-Paul Sport?

Blagnac 1-0 Saint-Paul Sport in the France - National League 3 on 13/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Blagnac vs Saint-Paul Sport?

Before kick-off our model rated a Blagnac win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Blagnac 46%, draw 24%, Saint-Paul Sport 30%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Blagnac) — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Blagnac) ✗ Over 2.5
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