13/01/2024
·
20:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-0
2nd Score
0-0
Vesoul vs Gueugnon Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under
55%
Over
45%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
36%
No Pick
64%
Total Goals
0-1
39%
2-3
36%
4-5
14%
6+
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
17%
X/2
11%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
26%
2/X
5%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
BTTS No — 64% ✗
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
33%
Home Win
22%
23%
Draw
25%
44%
Away Win
52%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Vesoul v Gueugnon — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Vesoul
The Market 26%
Head to Head
AWAY
Gueugnon
The Market 56%
+16% /
+16%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
-54%
/
-36%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
49%
Ball Possession
51%
11
Total Shots
11
4
Shots on Target
5
4
Corners
4
276 · 74%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
327 · 77%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Vesoul vs Gueugnon
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Gueugnon saw off Vesoul 3-1 away from home.
As we said in the preview, our model had Gueugnon as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (64%) — went the other way, though.
What was the final score of Vesoul vs Gueugnon?
Vesoul 1-3 Gueugnon in the France - National League 3 on 13/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Vesoul vs Gueugnon?
Before kick-off our model rated an Gueugnon win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Vesoul 33%, draw 23%, Gueugnon 44%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gueugnon) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Gueugnon)
✗ Under 2.5
✗ BTTS No
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FRUL3
More France - National League 3
13 Jan 2024