Brighton & Hove Alb. U21 4-2 Liverpool U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League 2 (League 1), 13 Jan 2024

📅13/01/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
2.46
Draw
19%
3.64
Away
31%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
Over 2.5
59%
Both Teams to Score
Yes OUR CALL
62%
1.39
No
38%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
2-3 Goals
47%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
18%
X/2
16%
X/X
3%
2/1
14%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
BTTS Yes — 62%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
37%
+12.7pp
19%
Draw
24%
-4.9pp
31%
Away Win
39%
-7.8pp
62%
BTTS Yes
68%
-5.5pp
38%
BTTS No
32%
+5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Brighton & Hove Alb. U21 EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Liverpool U21 EU Bookmakers 43%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
47% Ball Possession 53%
16 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
290 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 394 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Brighton & Hove Alb. U21
4-2
AWAY Liverpool U21
1.53 xG 2.66
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 9
5 Corners 7
331 Passes 386
77% Pass Accuracy 80%
13 Crosses 7
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Brighton & Hove Alb. U21 vs Liverpool U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Brighton & Hove Alb. U21 saw off Liverpool U21 4-2. It was 1-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Brighton & Hove Alb. U21 as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (62%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Brighton & Hove Alb. U21 had 48% of the ball to Liverpool U21's 52%, shots finished 11-16, expected goals 1.53 to 2.66 — on chances, Liverpool U21 could feel hard done by.

What was the final score of Brighton & Hove Alb. U21 vs Liverpool U21?

Brighton & Hove Alb. U21 4-2 Liverpool U21 in the England - Premier League 2 (League 1) on 13/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Brighton & Hove Alb. U21 vs Liverpool U21?

Before kick-off our model rated a Brighton & Hove Alb. U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Brighton & Hove Alb. U21 50%, draw 19%, Liverpool U21 31%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Brighton & Hove Alb. U21), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Brighton & Hove Alb. U21) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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