Naivas vs TransMara Sugar Prediction — Model Probabilities
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Naivas v TransMara Sugar — Team-Based Signals
Naivas 3-2 TransMara Sugar — Actual Match Statistics
Naivas edged past TransMara Sugar 3-2. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Naivas as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (62%) came in.
On the day, Naivas had 53% of the ball to TransMara Sugar's 47%, shots finished 7-5.
What was the final score of Naivas vs TransMara Sugar?
Naivas 3-2 TransMara Sugar in the Kenya - Super League on 13/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Naivas vs TransMara Sugar?
Before kick-off our model rated a Naivas win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Naivas 57%, draw 33%, TransMara Sugar 11%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Naivas), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.