13/01/2024
·
16:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-0
2nd Score
0-1
Gorilla vs Etincelles Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under
54%
Over
46%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
No Pick
58%
Total Goals
0-1
30%
2-3
43%
4-5
21%
6+
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
14%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
BTTS No — 58% ✗
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
46%
Home Win
47%
23%
Draw
27%
31%
Away Win
26%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Gorilla v Etincelles — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Gorilla
The Market 51%
Head to Head
AWAY
Etincelles
The Market 29%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
52%
Ball Possession
48%
12
Total Shots
10
5
Shots on Target
4
5
Corners
4
314 · 76%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
313 · 74%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
Gorilla vs Etincelles Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Gorilla
0W-1D-0L
AWAY
Etincelles
1.00
Avg Goals (FT)
1.00
6
Corners
2
The Meetings
POST-MATCH
Gorilla vs Etincelles
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Gorilla nicked a narrow win over Etincelles 2-1.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Gorilla as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.
What was the final score of Gorilla vs Etincelles?
Gorilla 2-1 Etincelles in the Ruanda - National Futbol League on 13/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Gorilla vs Etincelles?
Before kick-off our model rated a Gorilla win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Gorilla 46%, draw 23%, Etincelles 31%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gorilla) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Gorilla)
✗ Under 2.5
✗ BTTS No
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RUA
More Ruanda - National Futbol League
13 Jan 2024