Arba Minch Kenema 2-0 Adama City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Etiyopya - Premier League, 13 Jan 2025

📅13/01/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.47
Draw
41%
2.7
Away
25%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.52
Over 2.5
37%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
2.29
No
46%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
48%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
4%
1/X
3%
X/1
14%
X/2
13%
X/X
28%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
37%
-2.6pp
41%
Draw
34%
+7.4pp
25%
Away Win
30%
-4.8pp
63%
Under 2.5
62%
+1.3pp
37%
Over 2.5
38%
-1.3pp
54%
BTTS Yes
40%
+14.3pp
46%
BTTS No
60%
-14.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arba Minch Kenema EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Adama City EU Bookmakers 33%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +55% / -11%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
344 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 293 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.5
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Arba Minch Kenema
2-0
AWAY Adama City
43% Ball Possession 57%
5 Total Shots 4
3 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 5
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Arba Minch Kenema vs Adama City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arba Minch Kenema got the better of Adama City 2-0.

Our pre-match lean was the draw at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (63%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Arba Minch Kenema had 43% of the ball to Adama City's 57%, shots finished 5-4.

What was the final score of Arba Minch Kenema vs Adama City?

Arba Minch Kenema 2-0 Adama City in the Etiyopya - Premier League on 13/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arba Minch Kenema vs Adama City?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Arba Minch Kenema 34%, draw 41%, Adama City 25%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Draw), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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