Kedus Giorgis 1-0 Shire Endaselassie — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Etiyopya - Premier League, 13 Jan 2025

📅13/01/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.76
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
31%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
68%
1.6
Over 2.5
32%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
2.06
No
63%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
41%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
10%
X/2
10%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
53%
-11.5pp
28%
Draw
29%
-0.9pp
31%
Away Win
18%
+12.4pp
68%
Under 2.5
59%
+9.4pp
32%
Over 2.5
41%
-9.4pp
37%
BTTS Yes
44%
-7.9pp
63%
BTTS No
56%
+7.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kedus Giorgis EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Shire Endaselassie EU Bookmakers 21%
+30% / +30% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
2.51/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.50/0.75
+91% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -48% / +52%
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
358 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 220 · 67%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.1 Yellow Cards 2.5
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kedus Giorgis
1-0
AWAY Shire Endaselassie
41% Ball Possession 59%
13 Total Shots 3
6 Shots on Target 0
8 Corners 1
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Kedus Giorgis vs Shire Endaselassie
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kedus Giorgis edged past Shire Endaselassie 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Kedus Giorgis as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (68%), no to both teams scoring (63%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Kedus Giorgis had 41% of the ball to Shire Endaselassie's 59%, shots finished 13-3.

What was the final score of Kedus Giorgis vs Shire Endaselassie?

Kedus Giorgis 1-0 Shire Endaselassie in the Etiyopya - Premier League on 13/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kedus Giorgis vs Shire Endaselassie?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kedus Giorgis win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Kedus Giorgis 42%, draw 28%, Shire Endaselassie 31%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kedus Giorgis), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Kedus Giorgis) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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