Çorum FK 3-1 İstanbulspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 13 Jan 2025

📅13/01/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.46
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
33%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.75
Over 2.5
42%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.76
No
56%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
34%
2.98
2-3 Goals
36%
1.79
4-5 Goals
21%
4.0
6+ Goals
9%
18.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.98 — our 34% vs market 28.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
3.68
1/2
4%
32.5
1/X
9%
13.0
X/1
18%
5.4
X/2
13%
5.83
X/X
14%
4.22
2/1
7%
30.5
2/2
16%
4.1
2/X
6%
13.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
37%
+0.6pp
29%
Draw
29%
-0.0pp
33%
Away Win
34%
-0.4pp
58%
Under 2.5
53%
+4.9pp
42%
Over 2.5
47%
-4.9pp
44%
BTTS Yes
53%
-8.6pp
56%
BTTS No
47%
+8.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Çorum FK EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY İstanbulspor EU Bookmakers 37%
-4% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -13%
1.64/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.35/1.16
-37% / +37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / -20%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
317 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 77%
23.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.0
25.6 Crosses 17.7
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Çorum FK
0W-1D-2L
AWAY İstanbulspor
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
26.05.2015 İstanbulspor İstanbulspor 3-1 HT 2-1 Çorum FK Çorum FK S3-1P
07.03.2015 Çorum FK Çorum FK 0-3 HT 0-1 İstanbulspor İstanbulspor S3-1
18.10.2014 İstanbulspor İstanbulspor 1-1 HT 1-0 Çorum FK Çorum FK S3-1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Çorum FK
3-1
AWAY İstanbulspor
1.02 xG 1.65
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 11
319 Passes 271
83% Pass Accuracy 79%
20 Box Touches 28
22 Crosses 31
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Çorum FK vs İstanbulspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Çorum FK got the better of İstanbulspor 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (38% / 29% / 33%) promised a tight game; Çorum FK found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Çorum FK had 52% of the ball to İstanbulspor's 48%, shots finished 10-15, expected goals 1.02 to 1.65 — on chances, İstanbulspor could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, İstanbulspor led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Çorum FK and 2.33 for İstanbulspor.

What was the final score of Çorum FK vs İstanbulspor?

Çorum FK 3-1 İstanbulspor in the Turkey - 1st Division on 13/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Çorum FK vs İstanbulspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Çorum FK win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Çorum FK 38%, draw 29%, İstanbulspor 33%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Çorum FK) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Çorum FK) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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