Manisa FK 0-3 Ümraniyespor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 13 Jan 2025

Manisa FK
0-3 HT 0-3
Ümraniyespor
📅13/01/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Turkey - 1st Division – 2024/2025

Manisa FK vs Ümraniyespor Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.0
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
28%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.91
Over 2.5
44%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.7
No
53%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.53
2-3 Goals
41%
1.82
4-5 Goals
20%
3.46
6+ Goals
8%
13.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.53 — our 31% vs market 23.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
2.8
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
5%
13.4
X/1
17%
4.64
X/2
12%
7.19
X/X
13%
4.86
2/1
12%
24.7
2/2
10%
5.18
2/X
9%
13.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
46%
-1.8pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.0pp
28%
Away Win
27%
+0.8pp
56%
Under 2.5
48%
+7.9pp
44%
Over 2.5
52%
-7.9pp
47%
BTTS Yes
55%
-8.2pp
53%
BTTS No
45%
+8.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Manisa FK v Ümraniyespor — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Manisa FK EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Ümraniyespor EU Bookmakers 31%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -5%
1.37/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/1.51
-15% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / -11%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
337 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 76%
21.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.2
19.1 Crosses 15.6
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.4

Manisa FK vs Ümraniyespor Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Manisa FK
2W-0D-2L
AWAY Ümraniyespor
1.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.75
1.37 xG 1.65
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
326 Passes 393
81% Pass Accuracy 82%
20 Box Touches 26
17 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
11.03.2024 Manisa FK Manisa FK 3-2 HT 2-0 Ümraniyespor Ümraniyespor T1L
22.10.2023 Ümraniyespor Ümraniyespor 3-2 HT 1-0 Manisa FK Manisa FK T1L
21.02.2022 Manisa FK Manisa FK 2-1 HT 1-1 Ümraniyespor Ümraniyespor T1L
25.09.2021 Ümraniyespor Ümraniyespor 1-0 HT 1-0 Manisa FK Manisa FK T1L

Manisa FK 0-3 Ümraniyespor — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Manisa FK
0-3
AWAY Ümraniyespor
1.08 xG 0.71
67% Ball Possession 33%
23 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 6
9 Corners 6
445 Passes 177
84% Pass Accuracy 68%
30 Box Touches 15
29 Crosses 13
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Manisa FK vs Ümraniyespor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ümraniyespor ran out comfortable winners over Manisa FK 3-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Manisa FK at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Manisa FK had 67% of the ball to Ümraniyespor's 33%, shots finished 23-10, expected goals 1.08 to 0.71.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece. Those games averaged 1.75 goals for Manisa FK and 1.75 for Ümraniyespor.

What was the final score of Manisa FK vs Ümraniyespor?

Manisa FK 0-3 Ümraniyespor in the Turkey - 1st Division on 13/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Manisa FK vs Ümraniyespor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Manisa FK win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Manisa FK 44%, draw 27%, Ümraniyespor 28%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Manisa FK), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Manisa FK) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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