Glenavon FC 4-2 Newington Youth — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - Cup, 13 Jan 2026

📅13/01/2026 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.76
Draw
19%
3.72
Away
27%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.51
Over 2.5
54%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.49
No
43%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
5.19
2-3 Goals
45%
1.97
4-5 Goals
17%
2.59
6+ Goals
12%
6.18
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
39%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
10%
X/2
12%
X/X
6%
2/1
5%
2/2
10%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
53%
+1.1pp
19%
Draw
24%
-4.4pp
27%
Away Win
24%
+3.2pp
46%
Under 2.5
36%
+9.6pp
54%
Over 2.5
64%
-9.6pp
57%
BTTS Yes
63%
-6.0pp
43%
BTTS No
37%
+6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Glenavon FC EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Newington Youth EU Bookmakers 27%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
363 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 335 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Glenavon FC
4-2
AWAY Newington Youth
64% Ball Possession 36%
19 Total Shots 11
8 Shots on Target 4
12 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Glenavon FC vs Newington Youth
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Glenavon FC beat Newington Youth 4-2. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Glenavon FC as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (57%) came in.

On the day, Glenavon FC had 64% of the ball to Newington Youth's 36%, shots finished 19-11.

What was the final score of Glenavon FC vs Newington Youth?

Glenavon FC 4-2 Newington Youth in the North Ireland - Cup on 13/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Glenavon FC vs Newington Youth?

Before kick-off our model rated a Glenavon FC win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Glenavon FC 54%, draw 19%, Newington Youth 27%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Glenavon FC), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Glenavon FC) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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KİRK More North Ireland - Cup
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