Ballinamallard United 0-3 Institute FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - Cup, 13 Jan 2026

📅13/01/2026 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.38
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
38%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
Over 2.5
56%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
No
43%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
15%
X/X
13%
2/1
9%
2/2
16%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
38%
-0.2pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.6pp
38%
Away Win
36%
+2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ballinamallard United EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Institute FC EU Bookmakers 39%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
309 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 267 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ballinamallard United
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Institute FC
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
06.12.2025 Ballinamallard United Ballinamallard United 2-2 HT 0-0 Institute FC Institute FC KİRL1
16.09.2025 Institute FC Institute FC 0-0 HT 0-0 Ballinamallard United Ballinamallard United KİRL1
05.04.2025 Ballinamallard United Ballinamallard United 2-0 Institute FC Institute FC KİRL1
01.03.2025 Institute FC Institute FC 1-0 Ballinamallard United Ballinamallard United KİRL1
19.10.2024 Institute FC Institute FC 2-1 Ballinamallard United Ballinamallard United KİRL1
14.09.2024 Ballinamallard United Ballinamallard United 1-2 HT 1-0 Institute FC Institute FC KİRL1
POST-MATCH Ballinamallard United vs Institute FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Institute FC ran out comfortable winners over Ballinamallard United 3-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (38% / 24% / 38%) promised a tight game; Institute FC found the edge the numbers couldn't. On goals, over 2.5 goals (56%) landed while both teams to score (57%) missed.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Institute FC led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Ballinamallard United and 1.17 for Institute FC.

What was the final score of Ballinamallard United vs Institute FC?

Ballinamallard United 0-3 Institute FC in the North Ireland - Cup on 13/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ballinamallard United vs Institute FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ballinamallard United win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Ballinamallard United 38%, draw 24%, Institute FC 38%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (38/24/38) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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