Ballinamallard United 2-0 Institute FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - 1st Division, 5 Apr 2025

📅05/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.53
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
30%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.18
Over 2.5
59%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.53
No
42%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.18
2-3 Goals
40%
1.86
4-5 Goals
28%
2.85
6+ Goals
10%
8.31
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
22%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
36%
+6.6pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.4pp
30%
Away Win
38%
-8.0pp
41%
Under 2.5
42%
-1.1pp
59%
Over 2.5
58%
+1.1pp
58%
BTTS Yes
61%
-3.2pp
42%
BTTS No
39%
+3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ballinamallard United EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Institute FC EU Bookmakers 42%
-13% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
1.28/1.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.69/1.71
-24% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / -14%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
353 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ballinamallard United
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Institute FC
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
48% Ball Possession 52%
4 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
01.03.2025 Institute FC Institute FC 1-0 Ballinamallard United Ballinamallard United KİRL1
19.10.2024 Institute FC Institute FC 2-1 Ballinamallard United Ballinamallard United KİRL1
14.09.2024 Ballinamallard United Ballinamallard United 1-2 HT 1-0 Institute FC Institute FC KİRL1
10.02.2024 Ballinamallard United Ballinamallard United 0-0 HT 0-0 Institute FC Institute FC KİRL1
24.11.2023 Institute FC Institute FC 1-0 HT 0-0 Ballinamallard United Ballinamallard United KİRL1
16.09.2023 Ballinamallard United Ballinamallard United 0-1 HT 0-0 Institute FC Institute FC KİRL1
POST-MATCH Ballinamallard United vs Institute FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ballinamallard United beat Institute FC 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Ballinamallard United as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Institute FC led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Ballinamallard United and 1.17 for Institute FC.

What was the final score of Ballinamallard United vs Institute FC?

Ballinamallard United 2-0 Institute FC in the North Ireland - 1st Division on 05/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ballinamallard United vs Institute FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ballinamallard United win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Ballinamallard United 42%, draw 28%, Institute FC 30%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ballinamallard United) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ballinamallard United) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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