Armagh City 3-3 Newington Youth — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - 1st Division, 5 Apr 2025

📅05/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.67
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
37%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.29
Over 2.5
53%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.49
No
42%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.64
2-3 Goals
37%
1.91
4-5 Goals
29%
2.71
6+ Goals
11%
7.14
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
10%
1/X
8%
X/1
8%
X/2
12%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
15%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
34%
+2.2pp
27%
Draw
25%
+1.8pp
37%
Away Win
41%
-4.0pp
47%
Under 2.5
40%
+7.3pp
53%
Over 2.5
60%
-7.3pp
58%
BTTS Yes
63%
-4.8pp
42%
BTTS No
37%
+4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Armagh City EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Newington Youth EU Bookmakers 45%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
2.61/2.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/0.91
+64% / -33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / +65%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
294 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 335 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Armagh City
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Newington Youth
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
15.02.2025 Newington Youth Newington Youth 2-3 Armagh City Armagh City KİRL1
05.10.2024 Armagh City Armagh City 0-1 Newington Youth Newington Youth KİRL1
POST-MATCH Armagh City vs Newington Youth
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Armagh City and Newington Youth couldn't be separated, finishing 3-3. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 27% / 37% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (58%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Armagh City and 1.50 for Newington Youth.

What was the final score of Armagh City vs Newington Youth?

Armagh City 3-3 Newington Youth in the North Ireland - 1st Division on 05/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Armagh City vs Newington Youth?

Before kick-off our model rated an Newington Youth win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Armagh City 36%, draw 27%, Newington Youth 37%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Newington Youth) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Newington Youth) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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