Armagh City 0-1 Newington Youth — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - 1st Division, 5 Oct 2024

📅05/10/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.8
Draw
29%
3.94
Away
25%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.63
Over 2.5
57%
1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.43
No
48%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
6.08
2-3 Goals
35%
2.08
4-5 Goals
30%
2.56
6+ Goals
12%
5.66
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
9%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
51%
-5.2pp
29%
Draw
22%
+6.9pp
25%
Away Win
26%
-1.7pp
43%
Under 2.5
34%
+9.1pp
57%
Over 2.5
66%
-9.1pp
52%
BTTS Yes
66%
-13.2pp
48%
BTTS No
34%
+13.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Armagh City EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Newington Youth EU Bookmakers 30%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -8%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / -18%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
269 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 379 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.1
POST-MATCH Armagh City vs Newington Youth
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Newington Youth nicked a narrow win over Armagh City 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Armagh City at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Armagh City vs Newington Youth?

Armagh City 0-1 Newington Youth in the North Ireland - 1st Division on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Armagh City vs Newington Youth?

Before kick-off our model rated a Armagh City win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Armagh City 46%, draw 29%, Newington Youth 25%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Armagh City) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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